Rachada Dhanadirek
AIPMC Executive Committee Member
Thai Member of Parliament
23 November 2009, Tokyo
Tokyo Symposium – “The Shwe Gon Daing Declaration: Gateway to National Reconciliation in Union of Burma”
Good morning ladies and gentlemen. On behalf of AIPMC and its President Mr. Kraisak Choonhavan, I would like to thank you for inviting me here and providing the opportunity to share my thoughts with all of you. Of course, what I would like to present here are the personal opinions of someone who is an elected member of parliament, committed to the principles of participatory democracy and the promotion of regional cooperation, peace and prosperity, someone who also would like one day to have a chance to visit Burma as foreign minister. I do not yet have the privilege of speaking on behalf of the Royal Thai Government or the Democrat Party of Thailand.
Now is an important time to have a dialogue such as we doing today. The announcement two months ago of the United States’ revised policy towards Burma, which pairs direct engagement with tough economic sanctions, has fostered an atmosphere of cautious hope regarding the future of Burma not witnessed in recent years. The decision of the US to pursue direct, high-level dialogue with the reclusive generals, who control Burma’s government, has refocused the attention of the international community on the highly disturbing situation in the country and has spurred activities that start a genuine dialogue of reconciliation among the opposing actors. Though it is much too early to make any claims of concrete progress, early signs from the military controlled government do give cause for hope that the people of Burma may, in the not too distant future, may see their country embark on a journey towards a more democratic and just society.
As you are well aware, a political stalemate has gripped Burma for nearly two decades. Following their defeat in the 1990 elections, the military leaders refused to allow the National League for Democracy (NLD) and other winning parties to convene the legitimately elected parliament and form a government. Party leaders and democratic activists, including NLD leader Aung San Suu Kyi, were jailed, detained, and refrained from expressing their opinions. These have created a situation of conflict and polarization that has persisted to this day.
After completing a draft constitution in 2008, the SPDC announced its intention to hold a general election next year. In anticipation of this election the NLD issued the Shwe Gon Daing declaration in April of this year, outlining the conditions on which it will contest the planned elections. In the declaration the NLD called for, among other things, the release of all political prisoners, including Aung San Suu Kyi, the revision of SPDC’s 2008 constitution, which is seen as unjust and heavily skewed toward maintaining the military’s dominance, and dialogue on various issues of concern.
The Shwe Gon Daing Declaration, in my opinion, offers the opposing forces in Burma a starting point, a place of embarkation from which they can begin dialogues necessary to bring about national reconciliation and genuine reform. Through the declaration, one could say the NLD is again extending a hand, showing its willingness to compromise with the generals to bring about the changes that are in the best interest of the country, while respecting the role that each party can and must play in meaningful reconciliation.
To the outside world, dialogue as suggested in the declaration seems the best way forward for the troubled country. It identifies as its key component the revision of the SPDC’s 2008 constitution. One cannot deny that the constitution, which was written by delegates hand-picked by the military controlled government, is not quite truly based on democratic principles. The SPDC inserted various provisions into the constitution that allow the military to have significant blocs of seats in the national and local legislatures. The constitution also gives the commander-in-chief of the military extraordinary powers and allows the military to easily step in if the country is deemed to be in crisis. All of these provisions serve to entrench the role of the military in the future governance of Burma and ensure that the military elites do not lose their power to a civilian government.
Nor can it be denied that despite claims from the SPDC that the constitution was approved by nearly 94% of the voting population in a May 2008 referendum, many groups have openly voiced their opposition to the constitution. As the fundamental law of the state, the constitution must be acceptable to the citizens that it governs. The SPDC’s constitution clearly is not accepted by large segments of the Burmese population and must be revised to ensure legitimacy of any future government elected under its provisions. Only after the constitution has been adequately revised should a general election be conducted. One can understand why many consider the SPDC’s plan to hold a general election next year, under the current version of the 2008 Constitution, premature which will only result in a government devoid of legitimacy.
Additionally, the current atmosphere in the country may not guarantee that the election next year will be free, fair, or inclusive. Over 2,100 political prisoners, including the leader of the largest opposition party, are currently detained in Burma’s jails or under house arrest. The NLD and countless other domestic and international actors, including the Japanese Minister of Foreign Affairs Katsuya Okada, have called on the military controlled government to release all the political prisoners and ensure that they are permitted to participate as voters and candidates in the election. Others have also called for the government to allow non-government supported parties to organize, campaign, and field candidates. After the crushing defeat suffered in the 1990 elections, it is apparent that the military government certainly does not want to take any chances with the 2010 election. However, an election where opposition parties and candidates are not permitted to freely organize and campaign will only serve to further de-legitimize the electoral results.
As I mentioned earlier, there have been some early positive signs from Naypyidaw that the generals are indeed listening to the demands of the international community, if not the domestic democratic opposition. In September, Aung San Suu Kyi sent a personal letter to Senior General Than Shwe asking to be allowed to engage with Western diplomats to investigate and help determine how economic sanctions might be eased. The SPDC has responded to Aung San Suu Kyi’s request, allowing her meetings with US, UK, and EU diplomats and as well with the military controlled government’s appointed liaison. Additionally, Burmese diplomat Min Lwin announced recently during a trip to the Philippines that plans for Aung San Suu Kyi’s release were in the works. Though the government has used this claim many times in the past, frequently to ease international criticism or scrutiny, it can still be seen as a potentially positive sign.
While these positive signs are a reason for hope, one cannot be certain that progress will continue. History has shown that the SPDC can reverse its course of action when deemed necessary. Should it reassume its hard-lined stance, the NLD and other political parties and groupings will be placed in a grave dilemma: to participate or not to participate in upcoming election. To participate would mean an acceptance of a constitution they deem illegitimate; non-participation may give the SPDC the “justification” to persist with its policy control and exclusion.
For this reason, all concerned members of the international community must continue to be watchful and, to support the cause of national reconciliation in Burma in any possible
way. I believe that countries in Asia should be at the forefront of supporting reforms in Burma. Asian states, in particular the ASEAN states, Japan, China, and India, are Burma’s neighbors, and indeed some are major trading partners with and thus sources of revenue for the military controlled government and may be in a particularly strong position to effect change in the country.
Additionally, as Burma’s neighbors, Asian states are most impacted by the consequences of the SPDC’s policies. Refugees fleeing violence and seeking economic opportunity inundate Thailand, Malaysia, Bangladesh, China, Japan and other countries in the region, straining already limited resources. Likewise, through errors of omission or commission, Burma has become a hub for heroin, methamphetamines, and communicable diseases. Because of their proximity, these issues and their related problems have drastically impacted Burma’s neighbors in the short term. In the longer term, there also issues of concern related to the lack of true democracy in Burma. One is the continuation of the process of modernization of Burma’s armed forces, which are already one of the largest in East Asia: this may trigger a regional arms race. Another is the nuclear question mark: Burma’s continued association with North Korea may cause grave concerns among ASEAN neighbors, who are committed to maintaining the region as a nuclear weapons free zone, as most lately evident in the ASEAN Charter, with Burma a signatory state thereof.
For all these reasons, I believe it is incumbent upon all of us in the international community to make every effort to bring about positive changes in Burma. As far as I am concerned, the Shwe Gon Daing Declaration is a good starting place for the process of national reconciliation. The SPDC should be encouraged to respond positively to this initiative and begin a dialogue with the democratic opposition and the ethnic nationalities, with a view towards organizing a general election that is free, fair and inclusive, or at least as free, fair, and inclusive as possible.
Thank you
Roshan Jason
AIPMC Executive Director
Comments – International Symposium on Burma, 23 Nov 2009, Tokyo, Japan
Firstly, I would like to thank my colleagues from Burma and Japan for inviting me back to participate in yet another important symposium held here in Tokyo.
Since I was last here in 2007, much has happened and changed in Burma but at the same time nothing is significantly different in terms of political and human rights reform in a country that many of you here today come from and still have family remaining in.
I am deeply disappointed with this lack of significant progress.
Today however, there is a great opportunity for us and for the international community to secure the much-needed change for a new dawn in Burma. And as most of the speakers so far have shared, this change can only happen with the release of Daw Aung San Suu Kyi and the many others among Burma’s political and democratic elite, languishing in jails in Rangoon and many other parts of Burma. In order for a truly democratic and free Burma, led by Burma’s people of all ethnicities, the upcoming proposed elections of 2010 must only take place if there is review and reform of the regime’s 2008 constitution to a satisfactory democratic constitution.
You have heard all the arguments for this today and perhaps even before today. The question now is – what do we do it about? What should leaders of the world do about your appeals?
The role that governments in ASEAN, greater Asia and the West have in ensuring this; is crucial and vital and must be taken with full responsibility. With the recent redesigning of the United States’ approach to Burma employing three tactics, namely engagement, sanctions, and humanitarian assistance, there is now room for other nations close to Burma to themselves redesign their policies and approach on Burma. These approaches must represent a better-rounded approach than the previous policy of either engagement or isolation. In negotiating with the regime, countries such as China, Japan, Korea, Thailand and other ASEAN states must as well be strong and firm in its control of economic support to the regime. These countries cannot take for granted the will, or lack of will, of the regime and blindly trust a regime that has shown very little signs of reform and respect for its people.
The question is – will these governments do so?
What compels ASEAN – especially major states like Thailand, Malaysia, Singapore and Indonesia as well as other states from greater Asia like China and India to “do the right thing”? Honestly? Nothing. In fact, these countries are compelled to do the opposite of pushing for change in Burma – due solely to their self-interest given their huge business trade with Burma’s generals.
The Burma people have appealed to the conscience of regional leaders. It has obviously fallen on deaf ears given that 2 decades have passed since the 1988 bloody struggle in Rangoon, as ASEAN leaders still remain motionless in creating concrete steps and measures to allow democracy to prevail. We saw again in 2007 during the Saffron Revolution how ASEAN and other countries allow Burma’s generals to get away with murder – literally. Has governments forgotten about the lives lost at the hands of the regime – including that of a Japanese citizen?
While ASEAN has failed Burma’s people, this is not the time for the champions of human rights and democracy from governments such as the US and EU to back down and abandon the Burmese. Any drastic change in policy must only come with drastic change by the regime. Now that Japan has with it a democratic government, promising change in Japan, they should also promise change in Burma and keep to their promise.
Regional political history and experiences in countries like Cambodia, Vietnam, Thailand and even my own country of Malaysia, has shown that when at the early stages of fighting for democracy, if one ‘negotiates’ any fundamental value and principle of democracy for the sake of “something is better than nothing” – then we are left with an even greater task of correcting repressive laws and undemocratic practices in a so-called ‘electoral-democratic state’.
To put it plainly – if one allows the regime further power (even if its 25% of the legislature) one allows for the breeding of corrupt and ruthless politics to dictate its newfound democracy. The generals will likely turn into self-serving businessmen in suits controlling the economy and legislature while ignoring poverty and lack of freedoms. Then the country becomes subservient not to guns but to powers of the economic market and globalization, only to be controlled by non-democracy believers.
Let Burma be different in ASEAN, let Burma be the one country where democracy is not a negotiated settlement by colonialists or by bloody uprisings.
ASEAN, China and Japan’s positions should not be influence by a mere 500,000 soldiers with guns and its military generals with money.
Let Burma be what the over 50 million people want it to be – and have been calling for – a true democracy for and by its people and a clean slate to start on.
This may sound idealistic but isn’t democracy an ideal we all aspire to achieve?
Thank you.